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-rw-r--r-- | vorlesungen/slides/9/parrondo/spielb.tex | 100 |
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diff --git a/vorlesungen/slides/9/parrondo/spielb.tex b/vorlesungen/slides/9/parrondo/spielb.tex new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f65564f --- /dev/null +++ b/vorlesungen/slides/9/parrondo/spielb.tex @@ -0,0 +1,100 @@ +% +% spielb.tex -- slide template +% +% (c) 2021 Prof Dr Andreas Müller, OST Ostschweizer Fachhochschule +% +\bgroup +\begin{frame}[t] +\setlength{\abovedisplayskip}{5pt} +\setlength{\belowdisplayskip}{5pt} +\frametitle{Spiel $B$} +\vspace{-20pt} +\begin{columns}[t,onlytextwidth] +\begin{column}{0.48\textwidth} +\begin{block}{Definition} +Gewinn $\pm 1$, Wahrscheinlichkeit abhängig vom 3er-Rest des +aktuellen Kapitals $K$: +\begin{center} +\uncover<2->{% +\begin{tikzpicture}[>=latex,thick] +\coordinate (A0) at (90:2); +\coordinate (A1) at (210:2); +\coordinate (A2) at (330:2); + +\node at (A0) {$0$}; +\node at (A1) {$1$}; +\node at (A2) {$2$}; + +\draw (A0) circle[radius=0.4]; +\draw (A1) circle[radius=0.4]; +\draw (A2) circle[radius=0.4]; + +\draw[->,shorten >= 0.4cm,shorten <= 0.4cm] (A0) -- (A1); +\draw[->,shorten >= 0.4cm,shorten <= 0.4cm] (A0) -- (A2); +\draw[->,shorten >= 0.4cm,shorten <= 0.4cm] (A1) -- (A2); + +\draw[->,shorten >= 0.4cm,shorten <= 0.4cm] (A1) to[out=90,in=-150] (A0); +\draw[->,shorten >= 0.4cm,shorten <= 0.4cm] (A2) to[out=90,in=-30] (A0); +\draw[->,shorten >= 0.4cm,shorten <= 0.4cm] (A2) to[out=-150,in=-30] (A1); + +\def\R{1.9} +\def\r{0.7} + +\node at (30:\r) {$\frac{9}{10}$}; +\node at (150:\r) {$\frac1{10}$}; +\node at (270:\r) {$\frac34$}; + +\node at (30:\R) {$\frac{3}{4}$}; +\node at (150:\R) {$\frac1{4}$}; +\node at (270:\R) {$\frac14$}; + +\end{tikzpicture}} +\end{center} +\end{block} +\end{column} +\begin{column}{0.48\textwidth} +\uncover<3->{% +\begin{block}{Markov-Kette $Y$} +Übergangsmatrix +\[ +B=\begin{pmatrix} +0&\frac14&\frac34\\ +\frac{1}{10}&0&\frac14\\ +\frac{9}{10}&\frac34&0 +\end{pmatrix} +\] +\vspace{-10pt} + +\uncover<4->{% +Gewinnmatrix: +\vspace{-2pt} +\[ +G=\begin{pmatrix*}[r] +0&-1&1\\ +1&0&-1\\ +-1&1&0 +\end{pmatrix*} +\]} +\end{block}} +\vspace{-12pt} +\uncover<5->{% +\begin{block}{Gewinnerwartung} +\begin{align*} +&&&& +E(Y) +&= +U^t(G\odot B)p +\\ +p&={\textstyle\frac13}U +&&\Rightarrow& +E(Y)&={\textstyle\frac1{15}} +\\ +\overline{p}&={\tiny\frac{1}{13}\begin{pmatrix}5\\2\\6\end{pmatrix}} +&&\Rightarrow& +E(Y)&=0 +\end{align*} +\end{block}} +\end{column} +\end{columns} +\end{frame} +\egroup |